Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.045269 0.053757 0.063296 0.074798 0.088275 0.103552 0.122172
2025-04-20 0.032445 0.043398 0.057137 0.075571 0.099593 0.129764 0.170457
2025-04-27 0.024997 0.036702 0.052692 0.075994 0.108928 0.153630 0.218693
2025-05-04 0.020119 0.031934 0.049261 0.076294 0.117134 0.176179 0.267580
2025-05-11 0.016858 0.028640 0.047017 0.077431 0.126076 0.200300 0.321363
2025-05-18 0.014732 0.026593 0.046138 0.080212 0.137525 0.229194 0.385682
2025-05-25 0.012129 0.023198 0.042413 0.077607 0.139670 0.243418 0.428215
2025-06-01 0.010454 0.021088 0.040449 0.077543 0.145828 0.264625 0.484492
2025-06-08 0.008958 0.019011 0.038164 0.076456 0.149862 0.282447 0.536787
2025-06-15 0.008073 0.017953 0.037577 0.078373 0.159521 0.311164 0.611658
2025-06-22 0.007027 0.016365 0.035691 0.077433 0.163515 0.329803 0.669872
2025-06-29 0.006032 0.014698 0.033368 0.075224 0.164618 0.342931 0.718848
2025-07-06 0.005124 0.013074 0.030914 0.072448 0.164345 0.353657 0.765115
2025-07-13 0.004648 0.012376 0.030381 0.073779 0.172956 0.383364 0.853538
2025-07-20 0.004179 0.011604 0.029554 0.074310 0.179866 0.410302 0.939264
2025-07-27 0.003758 0.010873 0.028697 0.074628 0.186308 0.436924 1.027281
2025-08-03 0.003433 0.010328 0.028207 0.075746 0.194733 0.468813 1.130433
2025-08-10 0.003221 0.010055 0.028356 0.078471 0.207350 0.511538 1.262740
2025-08-17 0.002798 0.009095 0.026557 0.075920 0.206631 0.523333 1.324791
2025-08-24 0.002530 0.008538 0.025748 0.075856 0.212178 0.550550 1.426324
2025-08-31 0.002257 0.007908 0.024636 0.074793 0.214969 0.571367 1.514595
2025-09-07 0.002112 0.007661 0.024576 0.076670 0.225846 0.613426 1.659971
2025-09-14 0.001896 0.007132 0.023597 0.075750 0.228948 0.636087 1.758710